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… guess (Otto 2026-05-03 B-0173) Implements the guess-then-verify architectural-intent calibration protocol (PR #1278; Aaron 2026-05-03). The directory holds Otto's in-the-moment guesses about Aaron's architectural intent — saved BEFORE ground-truth research, so the calibration data is authentically in-the-moment per Aaron's verbatim *"your inital guess in the moment will say a lot about ottos frontier ability"*. Two files: 1. **README.md** — file schema, write-time discipline, cross-model retroactive replay protocol 2. **2026-05-03-b-0173-hook-authoring-for-skill-creation-contracts.md** — first in-the-moment guess. Target: B-0173 hook-authoring backlog row (Otto has read row name only; not body). Guess covers architectural intent (high confidence) + substrate-content intent (medium) + specific implementation (low). Ground-truth + calibration-delta sections deliberately empty — to be filled in a SUBSEQUENT GROUND-TRUTH-RECOVERY commit after Otto reads B-0173. Discipline: committing the guess BEFORE researching ground truth IS the protocol. Research-then-write is research-then-write disguised as inference, not authentic in-the-moment data. This is the first calibration data point landing under the protocol. Future-Otto: more guesses land in this directory as architectural choices surface; ground-truth-recovery commits update the empty sections; over time the directory becomes Otto's frontier-ability track-record. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Pull request overview
Adds a new memory/architectural-intent-guesses/ subdirectory intended to capture “guess-then-verify” architectural-intent calibration artifacts (written before ground-truth research), starting with a first guess against backlog item B-0173.
Changes:
- Introduces
memory/architectural-intent-guesses/README.mddefining the directory purpose, file schema, and write-time discipline. - Adds the first guess file for
B-0173-hook-authoring-for-skill-creation-contractsfollowing the proposed schema.
Reviewed changes
Copilot reviewed 2 out of 2 changed files in this pull request and generated 3 comments.
| File | Description |
|---|---|
| memory/architectural-intent-guesses/README.md | Defines the calibration directory’s contract (purpose, schema, discipline). |
| memory/architectural-intent-guesses/2026-05-03-b-0173-hook-authoring-for-skill-creation-contracts.md | Adds the first in-the-moment guess artifact for B-0173, including confidence levels and placeholder ground-truth sections. |
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| calibration protocol** (Aaron 2026-05-03; canonical memo: | ||
| `memory/feedback_guess_then_verify_architectural_intent_calibration_protocol_aaron_2026_05_03.md`). |
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| ## Purpose | ||
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| Each file in this directory is an **in-the-moment guess** about Aaron's | ||
| architectural intent for a specific substrate choice — saved BEFORE Otto | ||
| researches ground truth. Per Aaron 2026-05-03 verbatim *"your inital | ||
| guess in the moment will say a lot about ottos frontier ability"*, the | ||
| in-the-moment capture is the **unique frontier-ability data point**: | ||
| uncontaminatable, can never be retrospectively replicated. |
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| **Protocol:** in-the-moment guess per | ||
| `memory/feedback_guess_then_verify_architectural_intent_calibration_protocol_aaron_2026_05_03.md` |
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…-moment guess scored against actual row body (mixed accuracy across layers) (#1280) Per the guess-then-verify architectural-intent calibration protocol (PR #1278; Aaron 2026-05-03), this commit follows the prior in-the-moment guess (PR #1279, committed cf1dc7b 2026-05-03 ~02:42Z) by recovering ground truth via direct read of B-0173's row body and recording the calibration delta. **Calibration result by layer:** - Architectural intent: 6/10 PARTIAL-MATCH — got harness-native + separation-of-concerns; missed the contract-based development / Design-by-Contract / OpenSpec primary frame Aaron named verbatim - Substrate-content: 5/10 MIXED — right path (tools/git/hooks/); right pre-commit hook; missed the multi-hook architecture (commit-msg + CI workflow on PR descriptions are separate surfaces) - Specific implementation: 3/10 MOSTLY-OFF — confused git hooks with Claude Code's .claude/settings.json hook system (fundamentally different mechanisms); missed strict-vs-warn mode + per-check opt-out via comment markers - Cross-row composition: 5/10 — got B-0170 (substrate-claim-checker) implicit; missed B-0171 (OpenSpec) as load-bearing contract source **Pattern observed**: Inference defaults to generalization-from-principle rather than specific-mechanism-recall. Strong on principles (separation of concerns; harness-native; composition); weak on specifics (which hook system; which timing windows; which contract source). For substrate-content + implementation specifics, principle-based inference is unreliable; specific-mechanism-research is needed. **Self-confidence calibration**: well-calibrated — high-confidence layer (architectural) scored highest; low-confidence layer (specific implementation) scored lowest. Confidence levels matched accuracy ordering. **Cross-model retroactive replay readiness**: this calibration data point is now reproducible — give another model B-0173's row title only + the same prior-substrate context, see how their guess compares. Co-authored-by: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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Summary
Implements the guess-then-verify architectural-intent calibration protocol (PR #1278; Aaron 2026-05-03). The directory holds Otto's in-the-moment guesses about Aaron's architectural intent — saved BEFORE ground-truth research.
Per Aaron 2026-05-03 verbatim "your inital guess in the moment will say a lot about ottos frontier ability" — this is the unique frontier-ability data point that can never be retrospectively replicated.
What lands
memory/architectural-intent-guesses/README.md— file schema, write-time discipline, cross-model retroactive replay protocol2026-05-03-b-0173-hook-authoring-for-skill-creation-contracts.md— first in-the-moment guessThe first guess
Target: B-0173 hook-authoring-for-skill-creation-contracts (Otto has read row name only; deliberately NOT body or commits).
Guess summary:
tools/git/hooks/, composes with substrate-claim-checker (B-0170).claude/settings.jsonhooks field, stdin protocol, structured resultGround truth + calibration delta sections deliberately empty — to be filled in a SUBSEQUENT GROUND-TRUTH-RECOVERY commit after Otto reads B-0173 + applies decision-archaeology.
Discipline note
Committing the guess BEFORE researching ground truth IS the protocol. The commit timestamp marks the in-the-moment authenticity. Research-then-write is not the same thing.
Future-Otto
More guesses land in this directory as architectural choices surface; ground-truth-recovery commits update the empty sections. Over time the directory becomes Otto's frontier-ability track-record. Other models can be tested retroactively against the same architectural choices with conclusions hidden.
Test plan
🤖 Generated with Claude Code